意昂2經濟論壇401期🗿：Deals and Development: The Political Dynamics of Growth Episodes

When are developing countries able to initiate periods of rapid growth and why have so few of these countries been able to sustain growth over decades? Economic growth for most developing countries is not a linear process. Growth instead proceeds in booms and busts, yet most frameworks for thinking about economic growth are built on the faulty assumption that a country’s economic performance is largely stable. In this presentation, I draw from my recently published book, Deals and Development: The Political Dynamics of Growth Episodes, to answer these questions through a novel conceptual framework built from a political economy of businessgovernment relations. I attempt to explain how growth episodes emerge and when growth, once ignited, is maintained for a sustained period. I then use the framework to examine the growth of countries across a range of institutional and political contexts in Africa and Asia. Through these country analyses, I demonstrate the explanatory power of the book’s framework and the importance of feedback cycles in which economic trends interact with political behaviour to either sustain or terminate growth episode.

Kunal Sen is Professor of Development Economics, Global Development Institute, and Joint Research Director, Effective States and Inclusive Development Research Centre, University of Manchester, UK. Kunal’s recent authored books are The Political Economy of India’s Growth Episodes (Palgrave Macmillan, 2016) and Out of the Shadows? The Informal Sector in Post-Reform India (Oxford University Press, 2016). He has won the Sanjaya Lall Prize in 2006 and Dudley Seers Prize in 2003 for his publications.